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Insights – Analysis2023-02-25T19:42:52+00:00

INSIGHTS

Analysis

Understand the Numbers

INSIGHTS

Analysis

Understand the numbers

ANALYSIS

Biden Outperforms Predictions, Again

February 28, 2024|

By Tom Bonier Dating back to the 2022 midterms, President Biden has consistently outperformed the polls and predictions from the leading political pundits around the country. In those 2022 midterms, Biden and Democrats reversed a century-long trend of the President’s party losing seats in the House and Senate – thwarting a much predicted “red wave” and actually picking up critical [...]

Early Trends in the NY-3 Special

February 7, 2024|

Voters in New York’s Third Congressional district head to the polls next week to fill the seat of the disgraced former Rep. George Santos. Democrat Tom Suozzi has more than tripled his opponent Mazi Pilip’s fundraising totals, and Democrats seem hopeful about their chances to flip the seat back in their favor, further cutting into Speaker Mike Johnson’s razor [...]

Did the VA GOP’s Investment in Early Vote Make a Difference?

November 30, 2023|

By Joe Garland, Director - Analytics  In the months leading up to the election in Virginia, much was made about Governor Youngkin and the Republican party’s investment in early voting, a stark contrast to the consistent criticism of the practice from former President Trump and many of his staunch supporters. Despite the Democratic sweep in Virginia, TargetSmart set out [...]

American Elections Are About Abortion Now

November 10, 2023|

TARA Group CEO and TargetSmart Senior Advisor Tom Bonier wrote a guest essay for the New York Times on the growing saliency of abortion rights and the impact the issue will have on the 2024 elections.  You can read the full piece here – a few key excerpts are below:  With two election cycles after the decision in Dobbs [...]

TargetSmart Unveils TargetEarly Ahead of Critical Virginia Elections

October 26, 2023|

Early vote tool also features data from New Jersey, Mississippi, and Kentucky Hi all, In less than a couple of weeks, voters in Virginia will head to the polls and cast their ballots in a critical off-year election. Money has poured into the state from both Democrats and Republicans as control of the General Assembly hangs in the balance. [...]

What we learned in Ohio: Lasting Impact of Dobbs Decision

August 9, 2023|

By Tom Bonier, CEO Heading into yesterday’s special election in the Buckeye state, many questioned if the abortion issue still wielded the political power it has over the past year - in Kansas, Michigan, Wisconsin - and other states where abortion rights were under attack. Some argued that Democrats have focused too much on abortion rights and the issue lacked [...]

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