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New TargetSmart/Telemundo Station Group Analysis Finds Spanish-Language Political TV Ads Greatly Increase Latinx Voter Turnout
A $1 Million Increase in Spanish TV Advertising Spending Predicts an Average Increase of 0.15% Points in Latinx Turnout at the Precinct Level Increased Spending on Spanish-language Ads Drove Turnout Increases in Key Markets: Los Angeles, Miami, Dallas, Houston, San Francisco, San Diego between 6.2% and 14.0% WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Increased Spanish-language advertising in a media market predicts significantly increased Latinx [...]
TargetSmart Launches Early Vote Dashboard for NJ Election
Early Vote Data to be Updated in Live-Time Washington, D.C. – Today, TargetSmart, a Democratic political analytics firm, launched an updated version of TargetEarly, the first-of-its-kind dashboard of state-by-state early vote data that was first launched in the run up to the 2018 midterm election. This new version of TargetEarly will update early vote data in live-time for states holding [...]
TargetSmart Analysis Shows Young Voters Hold Key Influence in 2020 Election
As nearly two dozen Democratic presidential candidates descend upon Detroit for next week’s debate, the state of Michigan’s electorate -- and what that portends for the 2020 election -- couldn’t be more important. Having voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in six consecutive elections from 1992 through 2012, and thus becoming part of the so-called “Blue Wall” that helped propel [...]
TargetSmart Analysis Shows Strength of a Younger, More Diverse Electorate in Texas
Following an electrifying Senate race where Beto O’Rourke’s campaign nearly claimed Ted Cruz’s Senate seat, an energized youth vote may spell trouble for Donald Trump, John Cornyn, and vulnerable House Republicans in 2020. A new Quinnipiac poll lends credence to this possibility, revealing a virtual polling tie between Trump and leading Democratic contenders including Beto O’Rourke, former Vice President Joe [...]
TargetSmart Analysis Shows Shift to a Younger, More Diverse Electorate in Arizona
A new TargetSmart analysis reveals a shift toward a younger and more diverse electorate in Arizona, solidifying its status as an emergent swing state ahead of the 2020 election. The analysis finds that more than a third of voters of color were under 24 years old, suggesting the potential for long-term power at the polls from young voters and people [...]
What voter files can tell us about trends in party registration
Commercial voter files hold great promise for studying certain aspects of American politics. These files, compiled by private vendors from administrative data collected by state and local governments, aim to get records for every registered voter in the country and are often supplemented with additional data from other sources. You can read more about them in our February 2018 study. [...]
