TARA Group CEO and TargetSmart Senior Advisor Tom Bonier wrote a guest essay for the New York Times on the growing saliency of abortion rights and the impact the issue will have on the 2024 elections. You can read the full piece here – a few key excerpts are below: With two election cycles after the decision in Dobbs [...]

Early vote tool also features data from New Jersey, Mississippi, and Kentucky Hi all, In less than a couple of weeks, voters in Virginia will head to the polls and cast their ballots in a critical off-year election. Money has poured into the state from both Democrats and Republicans as control of the General Assembly hangs in the balance. [...]

When Wisconsin voters went to the polls to decide the future of the state’s Supreme Court in April, many had it pegged as one of the most impactful elections in the state’s history. The court is set to decide the future of abortion rights, gerrymandering, and much more. The race gained national importance, set fundraising records, and proved to [...]

By Tom Bonier, CEO Heading into yesterday’s special election in the Buckeye state, many questioned if the abortion issue still wielded the political power it has over the past year - in Kansas, Michigan, Wisconsin - and other states where abortion rights were under attack. Some argued that Democrats have focused too much on abortion rights and the issue lacked [...]

By Alexander Falco, Strategic Analyst, TargetSmart Over the course of the last few election cycles, Asian American and Pacific Islander (AAPI) voters have had a significant impact on national, state and local elections. In May of 2021, TargetSmart analyzed the voting bloc’s unprecedented impact on the 2020 election, finding that the total number of ballots cast by AAPI voters [...]

Last Tuesday, voters in Wisconsin overwhelmingly backed Janet Protasiewicz, the pro-choice Milwaukee County Circuit Court Judge, altering the makeup of a court that’s been in conservative control for the last 15 years. It was a monumental victory in a state where a woman’s right to choose has come under attack and gerrymandering has helped Republicans build large majorities in [...]

In the days leading up to the November midterms, pundits on both sides of the aisle were predicting a tough night for Democrats. We now know that the conventional wisdom was just wrong. But why?  Pundits - and strategists - believed the hype, downplaying Democrats’ electoral chances largely based on three false premises: Democrats couldn’t break the historic trend. [...]

The 2022 midterm elections delivered more victories for Democrats than predicted around the country, none more important than Senator Mark Kelly and Governor Katie Hobbs’ triumphs over MAGA challengers Blake Masters and Kari Lake, respectively. So, what exactly happened in Arizona? Why were Democrats able to buck the historical trends and notch key victories in an election cycle where [...]

Friends, With polls closing in just a few hours, voters in Georgia will cast the final ballots of the 2022 Midterm Elections and decide the outcome of the all-important Georgia Senate Runoff. We’ve brought you analyses of the early vote all cycle, and here we’ll do that once more, breaking down the trends we’ve seen from the early voting [...]